[NL2-NL10] NL10 QQ 3bet fold 04/06

    • allen82082
      allen82082
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.06.2011 Posts: 1,682
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      UTG2:
      $5.28
      MP1:
      $5.59
      Hero:
      $3.85
      BU:
      $6.92

      0.05/0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.106 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q:diamond: , Q:club:
      UTG2 calls $0.10, MP1 raises to $0.40, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.20, BU calls $1.20, 3 folds, MP1 raises to $2.90, Hero folds, BU raises to $4.60, MP1 raises to $5.59 (All-In), BU calls $0.99.

      Flop: ($12.63) 9:heart: , 5:heart: , 3:diamond:
      Turn: ($12.63) 9:club:
      River: ($12.63) 9:spade: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $12.63

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      MP1 shows (Ks Kc)
      BU shows A葫芦,带9 (As Ad)

      BU wins with A葫芦,带9 (As Ad)

      At that time i feel one of them must be AA!

      2.65/0.15+0.4+1.2+1.2+2.65*3=25%


                 赢率       胜       和
      MP2    62.09%  60.79%   1.30% { KK+ }
      BU     20.82%  19.50%   1.32% { 99+, AKs, AKo }
      BB     17.09%  16.93%   0.15% { QdQh }
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey, :)

      With BU being the whale, you cannot fold QQ here because there is so much money in the pot after BU calls. He might have KK+ but he can have AJ,KTs as well or something retarded like that

      Needing 25% is a real bargain in this situation and I think your fold is not a good play long term

      - Gerv