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[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH, 33 set on flop

    • sinsas
      Joined: 22.09.2009 Posts: 380
      vpip 32, pfr 12, AF 2 ~300hands

      Not sure If it's profitable to hero call, I don't see him value betting AJ/AT on the river. And he won't bluff busted fd's that often ?

      Microgaming - £0.04 NL - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (CO): £4.14
      BTN: £4.62
      SB: £0.82
      BB: £4.00
      UTG: £5.14
      MP: £5.11

      SB posts SB £0.02, BB posts BB £0.04

      Pre Flop: (£0.06) Hero has 3:diamond: 3:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to £0.12, BTN calls £0.12, fold, fold

      Flop: (£0.30, 2 players) T:club: J:diamond: 3:club:
      Hero bets £0.16, BTN calls £0.16

      Turn: (£0.62, 2 players) 9:heart:
      Hero bets £0.32, BTN calls £0.32

      River: (£1.26, 2 players) A:diamond:
      Hero bets £0.72, BTN raises to £2.00, fold

      BTN wins £2.60
  • 2 replies
    • holmeboy
      Joined: 29.01.2010 Posts: 1,336
      Your besizing is too small. You want to make it bigger so he's paying for his draws.

      I'd say make it at least 0.2 on flop. Prob 0.24. Then pot on turn will be 0.78. Bet turn about 0.5-0.6 so pot on river = £1.8 - £2

      As played you need to call £1.3 to win £4 so only need like 30% equity. If you think he's capable of betting busted fd. He can show up here a lot with A9-AJ. AK that hit tp or A high fd that hit tp. So call imo.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello sinsas,

      Bet the flop bigger, bet the turn bigger. You want to protect your hand and of course get value. ;)

      I would assume the guy could even overplay 2pairs and the odds for us are pretty good on the river. Therefore I'd Bet/Call cause I would assume he would raise earlier with made straights to protect his hand.

      Best Regards.