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[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH set vs. 3bet shove

    • Manjuphobe
      Joined: 09.07.2010 Posts: 27
      Entraction, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $19.76 (98.8 bb)
      CO: $21.88 (109.4 bb)
      BTN: $22.96 (114.8 bb)
      Hero (SB): $21.03 (105.2 bb)
      BB: $28.08 (140.4 bb)
      UTG: $22 (110 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with T T
      UTG raises to $0.70, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.60, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.10) T J A (3 players)
      Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets $1.05, Hero raises to $3.70, BB folds, UTG raises to $21.30 and is all-in, Hero calls $16.63 and is all-in

      Turn: ($42.76) 8 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($42.76) Q (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      $42.76 pot ($2.13 rake)
      Final Board: T J A 8 Q
      Hero showed T T and lost (-$21.03 net)
      BB mucked and lost (-$0.70 net)
      UTG showed K Q and won $40.63 ($19.60 net)

      UTG is reg 20/14(2.4k) UTG raise 1st 19%

      Needed equity 42.9% to call Flop shove

      if vs. set, straight (AA, JJ, KQ)
      equity 29.84%

      + KdTd, 9d8d
      equity 31.29%

      +2 pair (excepted JT), KdTd, Td9d
      equity 49.37%

      Should I call?
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Manjuphobe,

      Welcome to the English NL Hand Evaluation Forum! Hopefully we will see more hands from you in the future. I hope that with our help you can improve your play and as well move up the limits. We will be waiting for the next hands and till that good luck on tables!

      Just from VPIP/PFR we can't say how the REG is playing. For me it doesn't seem to be a good player, so I'd go broke. But rather the question is how we should play the hand, I'd be towards leading out the flop cause if you Check/Raise then you just making weak hands to fold.

      Best Regards.
    • Manjuphobe
      Joined: 09.07.2010 Posts: 27
      His other stats:
      Flop CB 46, fold CB 68
      WTSD 23 W$SD 63

      His CB range is tight, so I should lead flop.

      Thank you veriz! I will post other hands!