[NL2-NL10] NL$4; bet sizing on turn

    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      Vil. is unknown.

      How much are we making it on the turn?
      Even when we make it a different size, given how many hands will call us flop+turn, we're going broke on river regardless, right?

      Thanks
      Matt

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5)
      Hero ($4)
      UTG ($5.12)
      UTG+1 ($4.52)
      CO ($4.06)
      BTN ($8.76)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.12, fold, Hero raises to $0.36, BTN calls $0.24

      FLOP ($0.74) 8:diamond: 6:spade: 5:spade:

      Hero bets $0.60, BTN calls $0.60

      TURN ($1.94) 8:diamond: 6:spade: 5:spade: J:club:

      Hero bets $1.45, BTN calls $1.45

      RIVER ($4.84) 8:diamond: 6:spade: 5:spade: J:club: 3:spade:

      Hero bets $1.59 (AI), BTN calls $1.59
      BTN shows K:spade: Q:spade: (Pre 16%, Flop 31.9%, Turn 18.2%) Hero shows A:diamond: A:spade: (Pre 84%, Flop 68.1%, Turn 81.8%) BTN wins $7.49
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello inlovewithamsterdam,

      Preflop: 3bet it a bit bigger, right now you are giving him good odds to set-mine vs you.

      As played
      Postflop: For the given reason that there isn't much left for us on the river I'd also just ship it. He may still have some weaker hands in his range and obviously if he comes up with flush and without having some pair he made a mistake by calling you. :)

      Best Regards.
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello inlovewithamsterdam,

      Preflop: 3bet it a bit bigger, right now you are giving him good odds to set-mine vs you.

      As played
      Postflop: For the given reason that there isn't much left for us on the river I'd also just ship it. He may still have some weaker hands in his range and obviously if he comes up with flush and without having some pair he made a mistake by calling you. :)

      Best Regards.
      So if we were BTN preflop, it wouldn't be a mistake to flat with a pocket pair when faced with that 3bet?

      (with the 3x we're giving him nearly 1:15 if we assume he gets my stack after he hits his set.)

      What do we want to 3bet it to? abt. 4x? Like .45?

      Thanks
      Matt
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      He gets correct odds to set-mine vs you. For 3bet pot we use Call15 rule.

      I'd do it 4x being OOP so yeah, something like $0,45.