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[NL20-NL50] NL20 TT facing strong River Bet

    • Rogbey
      Joined: 25.01.2012 Posts: 50
      Villain seems like a standard TAG playing 18/17 over a large sample, his FCB is 70%, TCB is 60% and RCB is 60%. With these stats I feel he is barreling a lot of air and trying to take people of hands. He is a semi decent hand reader and I think he has me on 77/88 or TT and will try take me off these hands with the 9 out there. What other stats in this situation should I be looking for to help in this decision?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($25.78)
      BB ($22.85)
      CO ($20.30)
      Hero ($20.64)

      Dealt to Hero T:heart: T:diamond:

      CO raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, fold, fold

      FLOP ($1.50) 6:heart: 2:spade: 9:club:

      CO bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10

      TURN ($3.70) 6:heart: 2:spade: 9:club: 9:diamond:

      CO bets $3, Hero calls $3

      RIVER ($9.70) 6:heart: 2:spade: 9:club: 9:diamond: 4:spade:

      CO bets $7.75, Hero calls $7.75

      CO shows 9:heart: J:heart:
      (Pre 32%, Flop 23.8%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero shows T:heart: T:diamond:
      (Pre 68%, Flop 76.2%, Turn 4.5%)

      CO wins $23.94
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Rogbey,

      If you are calling the turn then of course we are also calling the river, no way I am laying down there. We should decide right on the turn what to do, although vs his CBetting range should be fine.

      Best Regards.