[NL2-NL10] [MSS SH] set X xr turn

    • viccini
      viccini
      Global
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 337
      SB = 79/11/2.1/40 VP/PF/AF/WTSD in 141 hands

      Should I bet about $0,75 on the flop as you suggested on the other hand? His fold to cb is 43% so far (23 samples only) and WTSD 40%.

      I bet the turn again for value and get check raised.

      The turn is a blank so I think he was slowplaying the flop since I don't believe he'll bluff me like this. And if he was slowplaying the flop I think he has either TT or KJ (he would problably 3b AA pre flop).

      We have 16 combos of KJ and only 6 combos of TT which gives me only 35% equity on the turn against that range (and I need ~39%). I pushed all in on the turn but I think this wasn't the best play, mainly because of my stack size (I doubled up some hands ago).

      How would you have played this turn? :f_confused:

      thx!! :f_p:

      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      888
      5 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      Hero (UTG) ($10) 100bb
      CO ($5.21) 52bb
      BTN ($11.66) 117bb
      SB ($33.15) 332bb
      BB ($1.83) 18bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 5 players) Hero is UTG Q:spade: Q:diamond:
      Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, SB calls $0.35, 1 fold

      Flop: A:spade: 10:diamond: Q:heart: ($0.90, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.60, SB calls $0.60

      Turn: 3:diamond: ($2.10, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB raises to $6.60, Hero goes all-in $9, SB calls $2.40

      River: 2:heart: ($20.10, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      Final Pot: $20.10
      Hero shows
      Q:spade: Q:diamond:
      SB shows
      K:club: J:diamond:

      SB wins $19.10 (net +$9.10)

      Hero collects $0.00 (net -$10)
  • 5 replies
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      easy shove.AT,AQ,A3,TT will move like that so +ev play.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by Gonchan
      easy shove.AT,AQ,A3,TT will move like that so +ev play.
      Sorry but I can't agree with that without knowing SB's full statistics

      Would you mind posting me his AFq average, AFq Flop, AFq Turn, any reads, fold to cBet Flop ?

      Maybe you can find within those 141 hands with Filter WTSD=True, PFR=False,VPIP=True

      Thanks :)
    • viccini
      viccini
      Global
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 337
      Originally posted by Gerv
      Originally posted by Gonchan
      easy shove.AT,AQ,A3,TT will move like that so +ev play.
      Sorry but I can't agree with that without knowing SB's full statistics

      Would you mind posting me his AFq average, AFq Flop, AFq Turn, any reads, fold to cBet Flop ?

      Maybe you can find within those 141 hands with Filter WTSD=True, PFR=False,VPIP=True

      Thanks :)
      Sure!

      Agression: Total = 2.1 / F = 1.7 / T = 2.6 / R = 3.3
      Agg Freq: Total = 39% / F = 41% / T = 46% (72) / R = 25% (53)
      Check-raise: Total = 21% (24) / F = 15% (13) / T = 30% (10)
      W$SD = 45% (42) / WWSF = 45%
      fold to cbet flop = 43% (23)


      Reads:

      Check-raise turn all in with small flush
      Donk bet 1/2 pot TP (K4s) x 2 opponents and push turn with trips
      Donk bet bluff 1/3 pot x 2 opponents and check turn + river

      thx!! :)
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I think we have to discount the amount of combo's of TT check/raising here as it can lead the Flop or check/raise the Flop

      So your equity goes down and you need 39% so that means we have to bet/fold here, the sizing is fine in case he has Ax and just calls so you can valuebet him big on the River

      You have to distant yourself from Absolute hand strength (a set) because you mostly will face straights here so Relatively speaking; your hand is as good as AK but with a little bit more equity

      - Gerv
    • viccini
      viccini
      Global
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 337
      Originally posted by Gerv
      I think we have to discount the amount of combo's of TT check/raising here as it can lead the Flop or check/raise the Flop

      So your equity goes down and you need 39% so that means we have to bet/fold here, the sizing is fine in case he has Ax and just calls so you can valuebet him big on the River

      You have to distant yourself from Absolute hand strength (a set) because you mostly will face straights here so Relatively speaking; your hand is as good as AK but with a little bit more equity

      - Gerv
      :f_thumbsup: ty!