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what are the odds?

• Bronze
Joined: 18.12.2008
what are the odds.

within 1000 hands losing AK to AK three times?
• 4 replies
• Super Moderator
Super Moderator
Joined: 02.09.2010
Both AKs, both AKo, or one of each?
If both AKo, are there any common suits?

But, in general, in poker the way to look at it is, "If it is possible, it WILL happen."

In my first week playing on Full Tilt, I was dealt AA in 3 successive hands.
I wish I had saved the comment thread from the chat box.

I thought online poker was SO easy.

--VS
• Bronze
Joined: 16.07.2011
You need to indicate what suits were the cards you were holding and those of your opponents.Suited cards would obviously have a small advantage over non suited.Either way if this did happen to you within 1,000 hands then you can count yourself highly unlucky.
• Bronze
Joined: 15.01.2011
Well the odds of an outright win is 3.06% / 3.07% .

The chances of three consecutive wins are 3.06% * 3.06% * 3.06%

= .00284%

I don't know if my maths is advanced enough to do it over a 1000 hand sample or if i'd want to. Non the less, that is three consecutive defeats, that is assuming there is a fair split between suited and non suited confrontations.

Remember, however, that variance has no memory - so you can still hit red on the roulette wheel 40 times in a row.

(18/37)^40 = 0.000000000030397%

or 100...

(18/37)^100 = 5.09 x 10^32 (That's 30 0s after the percentage decimal point)
• Bronze
Joined: 18.12.2008
thanks all..

they were unsuited both opponents all three times came 4 of their suit.

I estimated 0.001%