[NL2-NL10] nl 10 sh AA

    • noulispa
      noulispa
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.01.2010 Posts: 1,280
      BB: $11.75 (117.5 bb)
      Hero (MP): $43.68 (436.8 bb)
      CO: $13.45 (134.5 bb)stats : V:21/P:14/ FLD TO CBET 57/1,2K hands
      BTN: $9.25 (92.5 bb)
      SB: $9.84 (98.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A:heart: A:club:
      Hero raises to $0.35, CO calls $0.35, BTN calls $0.35, SB folds, BB calls $0.25

      Flop: ($1.45) 3:heart: 7:spade: 8:club: (4 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.08, CO calls $1.08, 2 folds

      Turn: ($3.61) 2:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.15, CO calls $2.15

      River: ($7.91) 8:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.80, CO calls $1.80

      The opp was TAg /reasonable player from his play i put him on 99-JJ on the river i have to make it 3/4 $ ? i think that he is probably folding
  • 2 replies
    • Lasso
      Lasso
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.06.2006 Posts: 5,368
      really dry board so villain most likely has a pp here. if u dont think that villain floats much on the flop (im sure he doesnt, because bb and btn are still in the hand) i would bet bigger on the turn. on the river the pot is 7.91 with villain having 10$ behind. so if u bet like 6 on the river and he calls he wud probably call 10 as well.

      what is ur plan on the river? are u bet/folding here? if u wanna extract value from 99-jj u should probably at leats bet like 3.5$, because as played u bet less on the river than u did on the turn and that costs u value longterm. do u expect him to raise 77,88,33 on the turn? because thats important for ur river betsize.

      on the river 8x has u beat, but ure blocking most of his 8x. guess the only 8x hands he has are like a8s, 87s,89s. i think 3.5$ is fine on the river as played. u can still find a fold because i dont think he wud raise a set on the turn, there r no draws. i mean u have the reads, would u even bet/fold vs him? i mean if hes thinking he shud sometimes do that !?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello noulispa,

      Making those assumptions just Bet/Fold the river like $3, he still ha even worse PPs and maybe ends up with even QQ here. Could as well Bet it bigger on the turn for value. :)

      Best Regards.