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[NL2-NL10] MSS NL50 - 88 x 3bet

    • viccini
      viccini
      Global
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 337
      SB is 24/16/2.9/29 in 279 hands.
      3bet is 5% and "3bet vs open from BU" is 17% (12)

      CO is 93/0 in 15 hands

      Should I go all in here? If I assume he goes broke with 99+, AQ+ I have 35,6% equity with my 88 and need less than 34% fold equity to be break even.
      If I can assume he 3bets me with 8% of the hands I have about 35% fold equity. Do you think it can be a +EV situation?

      thx! :)

      (I'm using the EV formula: )
      EV = Pot*Foldequity + (1-Foldequity)[(eff.Stack+Deadmoney)*Equity – ((eff.Stack-Blind)*(1-Equity))]

      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      888
      9 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($53.69) 107bb
      UTG+1 ($31.28) 63bb
      MP1 ($50) 100bb
      MP2 ($13.92) 28bb
      MP3 ($50) 100bb
      CO ($88.40) 177bb
      Hero (BTN) ($17.50) 35bb
      SB ($54.10) 108bb
      BB ($64.64) 129bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is BTN 8:diamond: 8:spade:
      5 folds, CO calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2, SB raises to $7.50, 1 fold, CO folds, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $10.50

      SB wins $10.50 (net +$3)

      CO lost $0.50
      Hero lost $2
  • 3 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi,

      Do you ever think SB is going to fold when you shove? He gets 2.5:1 for his call
    • viccini
      viccini
      Global
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 337
      Originally posted by Gerv
      Hi,

      Do you ever think SB is going to fold when you shove? He gets 2.5:1 for his call
      :D Ok. So if I have no FE I need about 45% equity and can go broke if he 3bets me with about 10% of the hands right?
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      No it depends what this 10% is, is it linear range? polarized? Because if it is polarized, he can fold some % time and the times he calls you have less equity

      Generally I shove this but you have to understand there is no clear cut answer