[NL20-NL50] NL25SH: overpair (JJ) vs LAG on paired board

    • vladl2007
      vladl2007
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.10.2007 Posts: 10
      Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players

      Hero (BTN): $26.70
      SB: $25.35
      BB: $34.75
      UTG: $39.60
      CO: $28.60

      Opponent looks like tricky LAG. Stats
      Hands:158/VPIP:32/PFR:19/ATS:50/WtSD:28
      AF:1.2/AT:1.3/AR:4
      His aggression increases from flop to river: probably he slowplayed strong hands to river, and also bluffed there. Fold to bets on flop and turn both near 50%. In hands I have he never raised postflop before river. I didn't play a hand with him before and he saw me as 19/14.

      Pre-Flop: J J dealt to Hero (BTN)
      UTG folds, CO raises to $0.85, Hero raises to $2.90, 2 folds, CO calls $2.05

      Flop: ($6.15) 9 3 9 (2 Players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $2.75, CO calls $2.75

      Turn: ($11.65) 4 (2 Players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      I feel like check along here was a mistake. What you'd on turn, and if you think bet is in order, then how much is enough to be able to fold to his check-raise (it may be trusted). Would you call his bet size 2/3 of pot at any river if checked turn?
  • 2 replies