[NL2-NL10] Nl2 66BB

    • Beldyn
      Beldyn
      Silver
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 606
      Party Poker $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 1807773
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BB): $3.46
      UTG: $0.79
      UTG+1: $1.97
      UTG+2: $2.00
      MP1: $1.76
      MP2: $0.93
      CO: $2.00
      BTN: $2.10
      SB: $3.97

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BB with 6 :diamond: 6 :club:
      UTG calls $0.02, 7 folds, Hero checks

      Flop: ($0.05) K :spade: 2 :heart: 8 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.04, UTG calls $0.04

      Turn: ($0.13) 3 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG checks

      River: ($0.13) 3 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.48, Hero calls $0.48

      Here i played with 60 vpip ang 16 pfr villain and i call on the river because he made over pot bet and i thought that he made bluff. It is ok my calll or is better to fold ? THANKS!
  • 2 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      vpip/pfr are not really the relevant stats. so i'll answer you with maths and you take your conclusions :f_biggrin:

      the breakeven call equation

      0.48/(0.13+0.48+0.48)
      0.48/1.09
      ~0.44

      you need to be good at least ~44% of the time. :f_biggrin:


      another way to look at it:

      the breakeven bluff equation

      0.48/(0.13+0.48)
      0.48/0.61
      ~0.79

      you can call if you think villain is bluffing at least 79% of the time. :f_biggrin:


      so what?
      as a default i'd just assume 60/16 is passive and most likely wouldn't think third pair is good that often/his overbet bluffing frequency is that high.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Beldyn,

      Don't like your Call down there at all, you rarely beat much and neither you don't get good odds.

      Best Regards.