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[NL2-NL10] Q9 29/6

    • carrapa
      Joined: 09.12.2010 Posts: 1,295
      Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BB): $2.15 (107.5 bb)
      MP1: $1.22 (61 bb)
      MP2: $4.40 (220 bb)
      MP3: $2.47 (123.5 bb)
      CO: $1.80 (90 bb)
      BTN: $2.71 (135.5 bb)
      SB: $2.01 (100.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q 9
      3 folds, CO calls $0.02, BTN folds, SB completes, Hero checks

      Flop: ($0.06) Q Q 6 (3 players)
      SB bets $0.06, Hero raises to $0.21, CO folds, SB raises to $0.36, Hero raises to $2.13 and is all-in, SB calls $1.63 and is all-in

      Turn: ($4.04) 2 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($4.04) 3 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      Can I ever runaway from this?
  • 3 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,015
      really sucky spot in freeplay pot...

      we have to make the decision after the min3bet since he obviously has it. the question is what does he consider a value range here...
      i mean, it could be like any suited queens, KK, AA :f_biggrin: or QT+ if he's more reasonable...
    • Wacko118
      Joined: 21.06.2009 Posts: 300
      I dont feel you can get away from it.
      His completing range is any Q, and we can assume he stacks off also with any Q.
      I like to think even at Nl2 ppl raise AQ+ so you only have 10,J,K Q that beats you.
      I reckon you have to go with it
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello carrapa,

      Doubt that he will have a lot of time here KK/AA which completes, I tend to rather think that if he had them he would be raising them and maybe at the best if he is that bad then limp from early positions.

      We need ~45% equity here and for example vs a given range of:

      Board: Q:diamond: Q:spade: 6:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    54.90%  39.97%  14.93% { 66, Q2s+, Q8o+ }
      UTG+1  45.10%  30.16%  14.93% { Qh9d }

      it's pretty much towards break-even unless we assume the guy is capable of limping with a lot worse hands here. Doubt that we are going to face often here worse hands as just draws cause he ain't playing them. So according to that you can base your line and how loose you see the guy.

      Best Regards.