[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH AT two pair on flop

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,071
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20)
      BB ($23.72)
      UTG ($26.15)
      UTG+1 ($15.47)
      CO ($20)
      Hero ($25.83)

      Dealt to Hero T:spade: A:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.60, fold, BB calls $0.40

      FLOP ($1.30) A:diamond: 7:diamond: T:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB raises to $2.20, Hero raises to $5, BB raises to $23.12 (AI), Hero calls $18.12

      TURN ($47.54) A:diamond: 7:diamond: T:club: Q:heart:

      RIVER ($47.54) A:diamond: 7:diamond: T:club: Q:heart: K:spade:

      17/12 42 hands

      AA is not likely in his range, 77 and TT are very likely. Plus there could be AJ with flush draw, but AQ+ he would 3bet most likely. Might be KQ with FD, AT probably is there.

      But actually not too many weak hands, so maybe I should just call after his c/r to keep pot small and reevaluate the turn? The stacks are bit deep, so two pair is not too good to stack off I think.
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      While it's even vs a blind I doubt that it's going to be easy to get away, he may as well have just Ax hand and of course A7, ship it.

      Best Regards.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,071
      A7

      but how is this hand likely when he is OOP? Unless of course he if fish, then easy ship. But from stats we see that he is not loose.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
      A7

      but how is this hand likely when he is OOP? Unless of course he if fish, then easy ship. But from stats we see that he is not loose.
      Doubt that we know enough of him to exclude all A7 hands from his range and of course we can't exlude some strong Ax hands neither nor draws.