[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Sh: 99 set

    • Tiltmeifucan
      Tiltmeifucan
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.04.2012 Posts: 471
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      Hero (UTG) ($10) 100bb
      UTG+1 ($23.05) 231bb
      CO ($10) 100bb
      BTN ($17.04) 170bb
      SB ($10) 100bb
      BB ($18.05) 181bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is UTG 9:diamond: 9:spade:
      Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.30, 1 fold, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: Q:heart: 10:diamond: 9:heart: ($0.95, 3 players)
      BB bets $2.60, Hero calls $2.60, BTN folds

      Turn: 3:spade: ($6.15, 2 players)
      BB bets $3.10, Hero calls $3.10

      River: 2:spade: ($12.35, 2 players)
      BB bets $4, Hero goes all-in $4

      BB stats:



      There's two hands in his range what win KJ and J8, others is excluded.

      What about that enourmous donk bet on flop, can I find fold on flop with set vs loose aggro?
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      your hand is too strong and his range are worse hands than yours. I would likely also called flop and then shove on blank turn card. Try not to make too many hero folds against 43/13 players- they would often bluff with nothing.

      best regards,
    • Huricano
      Huricano
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.08.2010 Posts: 2,228
      This is standard raise/stack off, you can't just call on such a draw heavy board.
      Guy with this stats can have easilly any flushdraw ( :heart: :heart:) , Jx open-enders, OESD+pair (QJ,JT,J8), TP(AQ,KQ),2P(QT,Q9,T9) and 87 and...
      Please notice that only KJ and J8 beats you (and u still have ~35% eq) and maybe a QQ or TT if he somehow decide to just call with them.

      93,060 games 0.010 secs 9,306,000 games/sec

      Board: Qh Td 9h
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 39.996% 38.97% 01.03% 36265 955.50 { TT, AhTh, KJs+, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, Q9s+, Qh8h, Qh7h, J8s+, Jh7h, T9s, KJo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T9o }
      Hand 1: 60.004% 58.98% 01.03% 54884 955.50 { 9d9s }

      Turn blank doesn't really help you:

      4,092 games 0.000 secs 818,400 games/sec

      Board: Qh Td 9h 3s
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 38.587% 38.59% 00.00% 1579 0.00 { TT, KJs+, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, Q9s+, Qh8h, Qh7h, J8s+, Jh7h, T9s, KJo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T9o }
      Hand 1: 61.413% 61.41% 00.00% 2513 0.00 { 9d9s }
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Huricano
      This is standard raise/stack off, you can't just call on such a draw heavy board.
      Guy with this stats can have easilly any flushdraw ( :heart: :heart:) , Jx open-enders, OESD+pair (QJ,JT,J8), TP(AQ,KQ),2P(QT,Q9,T9) and 87 and...
      Please notice that only KJ and J8 beats you (and u still have ~35% eq) and maybe a QQ or TT if he somehow decide to just call with them.

      93,060 games 0.010 secs 9,306,000 games/sec

      Board: Qh Td 9h
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 39.996% 38.97% 01.03% 36265 955.50 { TT, AhTh, KJs+, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, Q9s+, Qh8h, Qh7h, J8s+, Jh7h, T9s, KJo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T9o }
      Hand 1: 60.004% 58.98% 01.03% 54884 955.50 { 9d9s }

      Turn blank doesn't really help you:

      4,092 games 0.000 secs 818,400 games/sec

      Board: Qh Td 9h 3s
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 38.587% 38.59% 00.00% 1579 0.00 { TT, KJs+, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, Q9s+, Qh8h, Qh7h, J8s+, Jh7h, T9s, KJo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T9o }
      Hand 1: 61.413% 61.41% 00.00% 2513 0.00 { 9d9s }
      In standard situations I would agree with that but as you see the guy made a huge overbet, which most likely is also the reason for Hero to Call. Even if you Call it there the guy behind us wont get the implied odds to draw with his FD/SD or whatsoever.

      Although raising the turn is kinda must.