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[NL2-NL10] 77 set broke

    • cozacu
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 1,379
      Hand converted with online hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 7, 7.
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, SB calls $0.20, BB calls $0.15.

      Flop: ($0.75) A, 5, 7 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50, BB folds.

      Turn: ($1.75) 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB calls $1.25.

      River: ($4.25) J (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.00, SB raises to $7.50(All-In), Hero calls $4.50.

      Final Pot: $19.25.

      villain 30/4 af 2.5 cbet 100 ftcbet 50 (0.0 3bet) 25hands

      FLop: value,

      Turn: value

      River: x/ch x/ch doesn't worry me to much... i think he might play a bigger set like this 77,99 or some 86 but still he is unknown and i decide to go for max value,because i see him calling down here with a lot of AX

      When he shoves... i`m tempted to fold... but in the same time he could do this with AJ or maybe A9... ofc with slowplayed AA,77,99,86 but.

      In the end vs this range AA,99,77,AJs,86s,AJo,86o i still have @ 30% eq,and i need something under 25% ... i didn't know back than that i have 30% vs that range but i was thinking that i don't need more than 25% eq to make a profitable call.

      Do you agree with the call? I`m still not 100% sure about it
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cozacu,

      We have 77, so we can exclude 77 from his range. But overall it's going to be difficult to fold it vs the fish, he could also have 55 in his range and most likely even AJ. So I would also end up playing this way.

      But Bet it bigger on the flop/turn and could ship the river then. :)

      Best Regards.