[NL2-NL10] NL10 55 Hiting a set

    • Alleen86
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 5,206

      After hiting a set, I decided not to check/raise him, expecting him to have an overpair, which he would maybe fold, or overcards, which he would mostly fold. The board didn't look dangerous, since he opened, so I decided to check/call all streets (even though I wasn't sure on the River).

      Is it better to check/raise the Flop or Turn? Maybe bet/fold the River?

      CO: 15/20/67/13/79/ (VPIP/PFR/FCB/AF/H)

      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      5 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG ($10) 100bb
      CO ($28.88) 289bb
      BTN ($10.35) 104bb
      SB ($5.58) 56bb
      Alleen86 (BB) ($10.66) 107bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 5 players) Alleen86 is BB 5:spade: 5:club:
      1 fold, CO raises to $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, Alleen86 calls $0.20

      Flop: 3:spade: 5:heart: 6:diamond: ($0.90, 3 players)
      SB checks, Alleen86 checks, CO bets $0.70, SB folds, Alleen86 calls $0.70

      Turn: 4:heart: ($2.30, 2 players)
      Alleen86 checks, CO bets $1.50, Alleen86 calls $1.50

      River: 8:diamond: ($5.30, 2 players)
      Alleen86 checks, CO bets $3.90, Alleen86 calls $3.90

      Final Pot: $13.10
      CO shows
      7:spade: 8:spade:
      Alleen86 shows
      5:spade: 5:club:

      CO wins $12.23 (net +$5.83)

      SB lost $0.35
      Alleen86 lost $6.50
  • 2 replies
    • druidulix
      Joined: 30.04.2011 Posts: 291
      I think check-raising the flop is the best, since its not sure he will fold an overpair, he could put you on a draw, or draw+pair. Also, its not that sure that he will dubbelbarrel his overcards on this board, multiway, so I dont think you will loose value.

      Now I'm just speculating, but his AF is probably not actually 13. He is still quite aggressive, so perhaps you could give him a chance to raise him quite small so he might level himself to believe he has some foldequity?

      Otherwise I guess the check-raise turn-plan is good, though it looks even stronger than on the flop.
      Except for this turn; you will most likely never be called by anything you beat (I guess) so a check-raise on this turn would probably be to turn your set (!) in to a bluff.

      On the river not that much has changed but do you think he will bet with his overpairs after you have called 2 streets already? Unless he is a maniac I think he would check back his overpairs for a free showdown.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      3-way I think he would likely b/f his overpairs, so likely I would also take c/c flop, c/c turn, c/rai river or c/c flop, c/r turn line

      Since 4 is quite bad card for you I think you can´t really do much else than hope he is bluffing and c/c him down or if you don´t see him bluffing you can also c/f river

      best regards,