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[NL2-NL10] bluff

    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Pacific, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $20 (40 bb)
      SB: $50.10 (100.2 bb)
      BB: $74.09 (148.2 bb)
      MP: $122.63 (245.3 bb)
      CO: $51.77 (103.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A :club: 6 :spade:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($3.50) 5 :diamond: 8 :heart: 4 :heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.25, SB raises to $7, Hero raises to $18.50 and is all-in, SB calls $11.50

      Turn: ($40.50) K :heart: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($40.50) 6 :diamond: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:


      14/11/36 af5.0.

      I did bluff all in.his af is high enough,even against draw,I am not much ahead,and against other main hands, I have less 28 % equity,so I should have folded,right?
  • 2 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi,

      This is a classic spew move because you do not understand statistics. Aggression Factor is made up from ( Bet + Raises ) / Calls.

      You clearly see that there is no check in this formula, therefore if he checks, his AF won't trigger or change

      I would even contemplate checking back this drawheavy flop and hope to go to showdown. If you don't then cBet/folding is the best play

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      "This is a classic spew move because you do not understand statistics."
      OMG!

      hmm, I'll take into consideration to hope to go to showdown.