[NL2-NL10] nl5 zoom QQ

    • DrDunne
      DrDunne
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.12.2010 Posts: 3,338
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Poker Stars
      SB ($15.28)
      BB ($22.83)
      UTG ($0.66)
      UTG+1 ($2.10)
      Hero ($8.43)
      BTN ($5.28)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.16, fold, fold, BB calls $0.11

      FLOP ($0.34) A:diamond: 3:diamond: J:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.20, BB folds

      Hero shows Q:club: Q:spade:

      Hero wins $0.33

      not sure whether i can bet this for value or if it's turning my QQ into a bluff. he might call with Jx and will probably call 1 street with a FD but is that too optimistic?
  • 5 replies
    • jules97
      jules97
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.06.2012 Posts: 1,449
      I think you're fine to cbet for value here. I plugged into pokerstove a range of all pocket pairs (minus kk,qq,ak), all face cards, all suited aces and half unsuited aces. This gives you about 55% equity. If the range is tightened up to be more realistic then the equity gets even better in your favor.

      equity is great for you too even if you ijnclude suited connectors
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      i fire twice here. :f_biggrin:

      2/3 and 1/2 is fine
    • jules97
      jules97
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.06.2012 Posts: 1,449
      Here I plugged it into flopzilla with a realistic(?) call range.

      So he has top pair, a set or 2 pair 31% of the time. So to keep him in the hand a low cbet of half pot would be a good idea to to keep him in the bet when he has made a mid or weak pair 45% of the time?



      Interestingly if you add suited connectors to his range and he gets a diamond (any but a Kd - where you are still ahead 60/40) on the turn, you are further ahead EV. I suppose reverse implied odds would go through the roof though.

    • DrDunne
      DrDunne
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.12.2010 Posts: 3,338
      wow big analysis jules :D thanks.

      and yeah my plan was probably to fire a modest 2nd barrel on any blank - he may even call down with some sort of gutshot!
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DrDunne,

      Most likely would end up still CBetting while it's still pretty drawy here and nor we don't know the opponent.

      Best Regards.