[NL20-NL50] SH50 - 2nd barrel 2nd pair

    • chocular77
      chocular77
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102


      BU is a 70/10, 70% FtoCB

      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      HEM
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($95.45) 191bb
      UTG+1 ($81.95) 164bb
      CO ($49.25) 99bb
      BTN ($101.36) 203bb
      cincinkid (SB) ($52.50) 105bb
      BB ($28.85) 58bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) cincinkid is SB J T
      3 folds, BTN calls $0.50, cincinkid raises to $2.50, BB calls $2.25, BTN folds

      Flop: J 4 5 ($6, 2 players)
      cincinkid bets $4, BB calls $4

      Turn: A ($14, 2 players)
      cincinkid checks, BB bets $7, cincinkid folds

      If i bet again i would be commited.
      Don't think he has too many draws in his range since he folds a lot (not that much against sb though).

      Final Pot: $21
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello chocular77,

      Why would we be committed? We can still 2nd barrel it like 1/2 and then reevaluate the action. He may easily have draws in his range and most likely he isn't going to bluff nor on turn with raise nor river with Bet.

      But yeah of course he has a lot of FD type of hands which have the A so I wouldn't say it's a mistake to Check/Fold.

      Best Regards.
    • chocular77
      chocular77
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      When i bet $7 on the turn the pot is $28 and he would have ~14.5 left.
      Would be hard to fold my hand for this odds on the river when i check to him.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by chocular77
      When i bet $7 on the turn the pot is $28 and he would have ~14.5 left.
      Would be hard to fold my hand for this odds on the river when i check to him.
      So, then just Check/Folding is much better? :) Whilst he could have tons of worse hands, draws/PPs. For example:

      Board: J:spade: 4:spade: 5:diamond:  A:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    49.23%  44.24%   4.99% { TT-44, J9s+, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QsJs, AsTs, KsTs, QsTs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, Ts9s, As8s, Ks8s, Qs8s, As7s, Ks7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, AJo, KJo, QJo, JTo }
      UTG+1  50.77%  45.78%   4.99% { JhTh }

      plus assuming that he has so far W$SD of 64%, do you even see him ever shoving with worse?