[NL20-NL50] NL50 FR KK in MP2

    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      9 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($20.25) 41bb
      UTG+1 ($82.02) 164bb
      MP1 ($53.18) 106bb
      Hero (MP2) ($90.76) 182bb
      MP3 ($35.75) 72bb
      CO ($54.03) 108bb
      BTN ($121.53) 243bb
      SB ($70.33) 141bb
      BB ($50) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is MP2 K:club: K:heart:
      UTG calls $0.50, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.50, 1 fold, CO calls $2.50, BTN calls $2.50, 2 folds, UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $2

      Flop: 3:diamond: 9:spade: 4:spade: ($11.25, 4 players)
      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $7.93, 1 fold, BTN calls $7.93, UTG+1 folds

      Turn: 8:club: ($27.11, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $15.05, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $42.16

      BTN wins $40.81 (net +$15.33)

      CO lost $2.50
      UTG lost $0.50
      UTG+1 lost $2.50
      Hero lost $10.43

      Stats in 16k hands
      17/9/2.4/49/22/83
      63/58/27/2.2
      raise cbet 8%
      AFQ 26, 27, 18
      AF 2.4 2.2 1.6


      I don't know what to say about this hand. The thing is he probably has all the sets in his range which are 9. In the past he used to bet whatever showdown value hand he had once I cbet and checked the turn but last hand I played against him he checked behind on the flop TPGK+NUTFLUSHDRAW so I'm lost. Anyway, he has 9 combos of sets and maybe 15 combos of TT,JJ and A9s. QQ is out of question. What should I do?
  • 5 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello BadeaCelRau,

      Just Bet the turn as well and Bet/Fold it, he could easily have worse PPs/hands and maybe even draws. Way too weak just to go for Check/Fold.

      Best Regards.
    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      How much would you bet the turn? I feel really bad about betting again, I'm putting half of my stack in the middle just to see him fold, basically, because if he calls again I'm check-folding the river anyway, or would you shove the river? The real problem is that everyone is setmining, the other 3 guys left (of which 2 were reg if I remember right) so what are the chances that I'm still good? Very slim because most of the time I bet and everyone folds, except some poor fish.
      That's why limp-reraising is golden :D creates perfect SPR for this type of hand
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by BadeaCelRau
      How much would you bet the turn? I feel really bad about betting again, I'm putting half of my stack in the middle just to see him fold, basically, because if he calls again I'm check-folding the river anyway, or would you shove the river? The real problem is that everyone is setmining, the other 3 guys left (of which 2 were reg if I remember right) so what are the chances that I'm still good? Very slim because most of the time I bet and everyone folds, except some poor fish.
      That's why limp-reraising is golden :D creates perfect SPR for this type of hand
      Why would you put half stack in the middle? You guys are 200bb deep. :P I'd Bet the similar size which he picked and perfecto, he also has QQ even his range there. :D So you most likely folded the best hand.
    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      No, he doesn't have QQ. He is squeezing that, I'm 100% positive. What I meant by half the stack is if I bet another 15$ with the 10$ already in the pot it's 25$, half of an 100bb stack. And I don't even pray he calls, I pray he folds so I can take down the pot.

      After the turn what is your plan for the river? :D
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by BadeaCelRau
      No, he doesn't have QQ. He is squeezing that, I'm 100% positive. What I meant by half the stack is if I bet another 15$ with the 10$ already in the pot it's 25$, half of an 100bb stack. And I don't even pray he calls, I pray he folds so I can take down the pot.

      After the turn what is your plan for the river? :D
      He may squeeze that being 100bb deep but 200bb deep is even a reg scare as a chicken to do that. My plan is to Bet the turn to receive a free showdown which means I'd Check/Fold the river cause I doubt we going to see many bluffs there and nor no worse PPs wont Bet.