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[NL20-NL50] NL25SH JJ paired flop

    • martins1337
      Joined: 07.06.2009 Posts: 273
      BB: $13.15 20/3/0 40hands
      Hero (UTG): $25.00
      MP: $42.39 24/19/3/8/30/300 vp/pfr/af/3b/wtsd/hands ,af on all streets ~3 AF%on F T R ~50, w$sd 33 (5/15)
      CO: $35.09
      BTN: $25.00
      SB: $25.61

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has J:club: J:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.75, MP calls $0.75, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.35, 3 players) 3:spade: 6:heart: 6:spade:
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.49, MP raises to $4.50, fold, Hero calls $3.01

      Turn: ($11.35, 2 players) 9:spade:
      Hero ?
      On flop he doesn't represent much, I think overpair (77-qq)and flusdraws. don't think he would raise FH,quads and only 6x could be 67s or A6s , but there's still fish to act. My plan was to x/c most nonspade turns and rivers.
      what would you do?

      on the flop

      Board: 3:spade: 6:spade: 6:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    39.09%  38.03%   1.06% { QQ-66, 33, A6s, 76s, AsQs, KsQs, AsTs, As5s, As4s, As2s }
      MP3    60.91%  59.85%   1.06% { JsJc }

      on this turn

      Board: 3:spade: 6:spade: 6:heart:  9:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    59.07%  57.97%   1.10% { QQ-88, 66, 33, A6s, 76s, AsQs, KsQs, AsTs, As5s, As4s, As2s }
      MP3    40.93%  39.83%   1.10% { JsJc }

  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello martins1337,

      Check/Fold the turn, especially as you said yourself that you mainly put him on a range of FDs then why do you want to now continue there? :) Just doesn't make sense.

      Best Regards.