[NL2-NL10] NL10sh top2 when flush hi

    • nickvdb1990
      nickvdb1990
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.01.2010 Posts: 1,753
      general solid stats on villain over 250 hands
      what do you think about his range for the turn, and his range for the river?

      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      PartyPoker
      5 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      nickvdb1990 (UTG) ($13.70) 137bb
      CO ($10) 100bb
      BTN ($10.22) 102bb
      SB ($13.09) 131bb
      BB ($8.57) 86bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 5 players) nickvdb1990 is UTG 10:spade: A:spade:
      nickvdb1990 raises to $0.30 ($13.40), 2 folds, SB calls $0.25 ($12.79), BB calls $0.20 ($8.27)

      Flop: 10:diamond: 4:spade: 4:diamond: ($0.90, 3 players)
      SB checks ($12.79), BB checks ($8.27), nickvdb1990 bets $0.55 ($12.85), SB calls $0.55 ($12.24), BB folds ($8.27)

      Turn: A:heart: ($2, 2 players)
      SB checks ($12.24), nickvdb1990 bets $1.20 ($11.65), SB raises to $3.90 ($8.34), nickvdb1990 calls $2.70 ($8.95)

      River: 2:diamond: ($9.80, 2 players)
      SB bets $4.65 ($3.69), $4.65 to nickvdb1990 ($8.95)?
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello nickvdb1990,

      "solid stats" don't tell me anything about him, you have 250 hands on him and don't even know how aggressive he is? :P I'd say that calling the turn is of course fine. But what do you beat on the river? His range is hardly going to contain a lot of A:dX hands and therefore you just don't beat much than pure bluff, but will the guy ever even bluff there and what is he floating to bluff on the turn?

      Also you have to fix your sizes, Bet the flop/turn bigger to protect from FD.

      Best Regards.
    • nickvdb1990
      nickvdb1990
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.01.2010 Posts: 1,753
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello nickvdb1990,

      "solid stats" don't tell me anything about him, you have 250 hands on him and don't even know how aggressive he is? :P I'd say that calling the turn is of course fine. But what do you beat on the river? His range is hardly going to contain a lot of A:dX hands and therefore you just don't beat much than pure bluff, but will the guy ever even bluff there and what is he floating to bluff on the turn?

      Also you have to fix your sizes, Bet the flop/turn bigger to protect from FD.

      Best Regards.
      Thanks for your analysis
      What I meant to say was that villain is around the average NL10 reg, which means that they don't ever get out of line in these big pots. At least not if it's a single raised pot. So indeed, I only have a bluffcatcher and I doubt he will have a lot of bluffs.
      It's a pretty interesting spot because his bluff range is ultra thin, or non-existent...personally I would say he bluffs close to 0% of the time. But his valuerange is also ultra-thin...we can split with AT, or he has us beat with 1combo of TT, one combo of 44 or diamonds....so I was guessing it's probably diamonds.
      Anyway I folded the hand.

      Thanks for the remark about my betsizes, this is indeed something I need to fix...I gotta stop being scared that they fold :) Thanks a lot!