[NL2-NL10] AQs 071512

    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Holdem
      9 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($5.28) 106bb
      UTG+1 ($3.99) 80bb
      MP1 ($5.05) 101bb
      MP2 ($3.24) 65bb
      MP3 ($5.09) 102bb
      CO ($2.53) 51bb
      BTN ($5) 100bb
      SB ($2) 40bb
      Hero (BB) ($6.30) 126bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.07, 9 players) Hero is BB Q:club: A:club:
      UTG calls $0.05, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.05, 5 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, UTG calls $0.25, 1 fold

      Flop: 4:club: 2:club: 4:diamond: ($0.67, 2 players)
      Hero bets $0.43, UTG calls $0.43

      Turn: 2:spade: ($1.53, 2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60

      River: 7:club: ($2.73, 2 players)
      Hero bets $1.36, UTG raises to $2.72, Hero ?
      26/8/2.3/39h
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello nipbourne,

      Turn: Either 2nd barrel the turn or just Check/Fold it, you don't really have the implied odds there cause you could easily even have reversed implied odds there.

      As played
      River: He isn't most likely raising with bluff nor raising completed flush for value, so what do you beat?

      Best Regards.
    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      River: He isn't most likely raising with bluff nor raising completed flush for value, so what do you beat?

      but only 22/44/77/A2s/A4s can beat me, maybe he could have worse flush?
      Turn: Either 2nd barrel the turn or just Check/Fold it, you don't really have the implied odds there cause you could easily even have reversed implied odds there.

      2nd barrel because we might have the best hand?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by nipbourne
      River: He isn't most likely raising with bluff nor raising completed flush for value, so what do you beat?

      but only 22/44/77/A2s/A4s can beat me, maybe he could have worse flush?
      Turn: Either 2nd barrel the turn or just Check/Fold it, you don't really have the implied odds there cause you could easily even have reversed implied odds there.

      2nd barrel because we might have the best hand?
      As I said already, we can't Check/Call cause we don't have the implied odds and nor we can't bluff-catch him like that. Also avoid him betting into us.

      Why would you think he has so capped range? And that's not really "only". Cause you might have to widen up his range there, he is obviously a loose player who could end up with everything and not only A2s but also A2o, not to talk about 45 or whatsoever hands.

      Assuming we need ~20% equity here to make profit in long run and even if we put into his range some FD:

      Board: 4:club: 2:club: 4:diamond:  2:spade:  7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    80.77%  80.77%   0.00% { 77, 44, 22, A4s, A2s, 54s, 43s, KcQc, KcJc, QcJc, KcTc, QcTc, JcTc, Kc9c, Jc9c, Qc8c, 8c7c, 7c6c, A4o, A2o }
      UTG+1  19.23%  19.23%   0.00% { AcQc }

      we are getting practically break-eve, so is it even worth? While we could sometimes even see wider range from him which contains also 45o or whatsoever hands.

      Of course it's not going to be a mistake to Call the min-raise but I don't see myself being very often ahead there.