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[NL20-NL50] [Sh]Nl25 Qq

    • dannywratten
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      UTG 27/11/48 hands

      I should probably just cbet bigger, shove turn. but as played, do you valuebet turn?
      he doesn't have many Kx i think unless maybe Kcxc, also sets probably dont slowplay this flop too often so I didn't think he repped much at all shoving turn.

      Bad thing is though, he probably doesn't call turn with worse again unless he thinks I barrel a lot. So maybe c/shove turn is better to let him bet worse?

      I don't think it would be too bad since NFD probably raised flop so I'm not too worried about him checking behind with draws.

      BTN: $80.60 (322.4 bb)
      Hero (SB): $25.35 (101.4 bb)
      BB: $54.29 (217.2 bb)
      UTG: $61.29 (245.2 bb)
      MP: $26.12 (104.5 bb)
      CO: $27.07 (108.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q Q
      UTG raises to $0.75, MP folds, CO calls $0.75, BTN folds, Hero raises to $3.30, BB folds, UTG calls $2.55, CO folds

      Flop: ($7.60) 3 2 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.90, UTG calls $3.90

      Turn: ($15.40) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $7.50, UTG raises to $54.09, Hero calls $10.65 and is all-in

      River: ($51.70) T (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $51.70 pot ($2.00 rake)
      Final Board: 3 2 7 K T
      Hero showed Q Q and won $49.70 ($24.35 net)
      UTG showed 6 6 and lost (-$25.35 net)
  • 3 replies
    • Puscherbilbo
      Joined: 17.06.2009 Posts: 1,229
      Pre i would prefer the flatcall to the squeeze. But it is not easy to tell given the missing information on all guys behind and involved. Only if we expect UTG to be weak/semiweak i like that raise. Stats kind of look like it but rly small sample.

      Postflop we have to expect pretty tight calling range like TT+ and AK or sth in that area. Other combos are just speculation.
      Vs Reg best line may once again be callD from the start. Not much to valuebet against to begin with.
      Vs Fish it is guessing game. He may overplay hands. But line obs looks pretty strong.
    • dannywratten
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      ok sorry I should have posted CO stats also. UTG I had marked as a fish, who has called 3bets twice out of two samples. & CO is 29/25 reg with 81% FT3b.
      So I think squeezing is best.

      So postflop I'm not so sure his range is all that tight :)
      i guess he can have sets, but I expected him to raise flop with them.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello dannywratten,

      If you assume UTG is a fish then we can't exclude even TT/99 or whatsoever hands from his range. Therefore will be difficult to get away, you shouldn't be 3betting in first place then if you don't plan to play for the stacks.

      Best Regards.