[NL2-NL10] Bottom set vs Reg

    • FlashDavin
      Joined: 25.10.2011 Posts: 421
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL ZOOM - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $10.00
      SB: $23.23
      BB: $8.89
      Hero (UTG): $10.00
      UTG+1: $9.75
      UTG+2: $11.07
      MP: $9.94
      MP+1: $8.04
      CO: $10.61

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 5:spade: 5:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.35, UTG+1 calls $0.35, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.30, fold

      Flop: ($1.15, 3 players) 7:heart: 5:heart: 9:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.80, UTG+1 calls $0.80, SB calls $0.80

      Turn: ($3.55, 3 players) J:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.00, fold, SB raises to $6.10, Hero raises to $8.85 and is all-in, SB calls $2.75

      Guy is 16/13 over 150 or so hands. He does not have 68 in his range. His aggression is 6 and WTSD is 25%. I am not really giving him credit for 77 or 99 because he typically reraises these types of hands 3 way IMO with all the draws. Think he also has some semi bluffs in his range now as turn gets kind of tricky.

      River: ($21.25, 2 players) 5:club:


      Obviously we hit our one outer cause we're cool like that.
      But is this the correct play?

      SB shows J:club: J:heart: (Full House, Jacks full of Fives) (Pre 80%, Flop 15%, Turn 98%)
      Hero shows 5:spade: 5:diamond: (Four of a Kind, Fives) (Pre 20%, Flop 85%, Turn 2%)
      Hero wins $20.29
  • 2 replies
    • TeddyBjornen
      Joined: 28.05.2012 Posts: 223
      nh :s_biggrin:
      i cant see any major mistakes.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello FlashDavin,

      We can't exclude all the 77/99 hands from their ranges, you will be amazed how many do slowplay like that there. But that's true that we don't beat much on the turn anymore.

      Our only hope is that the guy has really strong hands as TP+FD or whatsoever. Our equity overall might be not very good even there if we take into account some weaker sets possible there. I might even make crying fold while it's also ZOOM and the ranges are usually in those spots very strong. T8s is also possible.

      Best Regards.