[NL2-NL10] NL10 QQ AI on the flop

    • TheCoon
      Joined: 04.06.2009 Posts: 64
      BTN:38/34/ calling station

      Do I have enough equity to stack there?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3 (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q, Q.
      MP2 raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.90, CO folds, BU calls $0.90, 3 folds, 2 folds, MP2 folds.

      Flop: ($2.25) J, 2, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.46, BU raises to $9.06, Hero raises to $10.77, BU calls $0.04.

      Turn: ($22.12) 8 (2 players)

      River: ($22.12) 8 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $22.12.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello TheCoon,

      Preflop: 3bet it bigger cause you are giving good odds to set Call vs you.

      As played
      Postflop: 38/34 I assume from the stats you didn't even have much of hands on him. Cause you didn't tell me and according to that stats I can say that it's not much. So we can't assume that we are against very loose opponent.

      Assuming vs stronger range our equity isn't going to be very good:

      Board: J:club: 2:club: 5:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    69.24%  67.65%   1.59% { JJ+, AcKc, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs }
      UTG+1  30.76%  29.17%   1.59% { QhQc }

      and which rather means vs his 3bet-calling range we are not doing very good.

      Best Regards.