This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] AKs 3bet pot two over + gutshot

    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): $8.30 (41.5 bb)
      BB: $20.44 (102.2 bb)
      CO: $13.45 (67.2 bb)
      BTN: $28.04 (140.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K A
      CO calls $0.20, BTN folds, Hero raises to $1, BB folds, CO calls $0.80

      Flop: ($2.20) Q 4 T (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.40, CO raises to $12.45 and is all-in, Hero calls $5.90 and is all-in

      Turn: ($16.80) 3 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($16.80) T (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      Results:
      $16.80 pot ($0.84 rake)
      Final Board: Q 4 T 3 T
      Hero mucked K A and lost (-$8.30 net)
      CO showed K Q and won $15.96 ($7.66 net)


      even against Q, I have 9~10 outs(I doubt A, K is clean outs because of blocker) so shove is ok?
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Heyhello,

      U have to realize that you do not have clean outs. You have 4 clean outs to the gutshot (or 3 if he has QJ). The other 6 we have to discount because sometimes he has AT/AQ/KQ/QT

      Therefore I just bet/fold here because our overall equity is too bad to call:

      Board: Q:diamond: 4:spade: T:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    29.29%  29.02%   0.27% { AdKd }
      MP3    70.71%  70.44%   0.27% { 44, AQs, ATs, KQs, QTs+, AQo, KQo, QTo+ }



      Our pot odds are less than 2:1 so we need more equity than we have

      - Gerv