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[NL2-NL10] NL4 FR Value bet with the 3rd best possible hand?

    • Phoenix2104
      Phoenix2104
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.04.2011 Posts: 183
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.04 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Known players:
      UTG2:
      $9.05
      MP1:
      $5.39
      MP2:
      $1.44
      MP3:
      $9.93
      CO:
      $4.00
      BU:
      $4.31
      SB:
      $4.00
      BB (Hero):
      $0.94
      UTG1:
      $8.81

      Preflop: Hero is BB with T, K.
      4 folds, MP3 calls $0.04, 2 folds, SB calls $0.02, Hero checks.

      Flop: ($0.12) 9, T, 9 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.08, MP3 calls $0.08, SB folds.

      I thought it was much more probable for my opponents to have overcards or a flush or straight draw than to have a 9 so I bet here for protection.

      Turn: ($0.28) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.16, MP3 calls $0.16.

      I found it even less probable for my opponent to have a 9 now and I needn't worry about AT anymore, so I bet again to make him fold two overcards and perhaps to gain some value from a smaller pocket pair. Of course he couldn't have had TT+ because he would have raised pre-flop.

      River: ($0.6) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.28,

      Being almost certain that I had the best hand, I bet again in an attempt to maybe make him fold a Ten as it would have been much more probable for me to have a 9 (being in the BB), or perhaps get some value from a smaller pocket pair. Worst thing that could happen was to split the pot after all, I thought.

      Results follow:

      MP3 calls $0.28.

      Final Pot: $1.16.

      Hero shows a full-house, nines full of tens(Ts Kd).

      MP3 shows a full-house, nines full of jacks(Jd Tc).

      MP3 wins with a full-house, nines full of jacks(Jd Tc).

      So, my questions are:
      1. Was the river bet too risky?
      2. Should I have been afraid of a possible 9 and just check/call all along?
      Thanks.
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi,

      I would be very uncomfortable check/x the River so I think the betting is fine there for thin value

      To answer your other question about him having possible quads; I would never be playing passive right here unless he raises you which puts you in tough spots but it is hard to get away from as a MSS

      Generally it is a mistake to get away with our stacks on your limits as people do random things

      - Gerv