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[NL2-NL10] NL 2 Enough odds to call?

    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 10,715
      IPoker, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $2.42 (121 bb)
      SB: $2.10 (105 bb)
      Hero (BB): $2.90 (145 bb)
      UTG+2: $1.80 (90 bb)
      MP1: $2.01 (100.5 bb)
      MP2: $1.22 (61 bb) 45/15/11.1/11 v/p/3bet/af 34 hands
      MP3: $1.04 (52 bb)
      CO: $1.95 (97.5 bb) unknown

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A T
      2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.04, MP3 folds, CO raises to $0.08, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.06, MP2 calls $0.04

      Flop: ($0.25) 6 8 4 (3 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 bets $1.14 and is all-in, CO raises to $1.87, Hero ???

      To keep it simple, I assumed one had an overpair, and the other had a set-- both of which sort of make sense by their betting.

      Against that range, I have 25% equity by Equilab.
      Is that enough for a call here?

  • 3 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,020
      no
    • tieppofer
      tieppofer
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.01.2009 Posts: 298
      Not even close
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      If you´re calling pre-flop I can´t really see how you can fold your hand postflop. Against set and overpair you have exactly 25% to call shove

      board: 8d6s4d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      88 68.44% 11,070 162
      AdTd 25.30% 4,059 162
      KK 6.26% 963 162

      but if I take some more realistic range, your equity rises to 37% that means it is easy call consider pot odds.

      board: 8d6s4d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      88, 87, QdJd, TT, 99, 66, 44 31.44% 205,147 5,184
      AdTd 37.53% 244,968 5,778
      TT-AA 31.02% 202,394 5,211

      Best play would be ofcourse fold pre-flop, since ATs is often dominated and if you hit Axx board you would mostly loose a lot of money

      best regards,