[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 25 broke vs flop x/mr

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Party Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1836738
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $17.45 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 54
      Hero (BTN): $25.80 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 21, 3B: 9, AF: 5.1, Hands: 21079
      SB: $33.12 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 1.6, Hands: 172
      BB: $12.00 - VPIP: 62, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 4.3, Hands: 52
      UTG: $29.08 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 22, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 9

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with K :diamond: 9 :diamond:
      1 fold, CO calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1, 1 fold, BB calls $0.75, CO calls $0.75

      Flop: ($3.10) 5 :spade: 9 :heart: 6 :heart: (3 players)
      BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $2.25, BB raises to $4.50, CO folds, Hero raises to $16.45, BB calls $6.50 all in

      Turn: ($25.10) 7 :spade: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      River: ($25.10) 3 :heart: (2 players - 1 is all in)

             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    66.22%  64.91%   1.31% { Kd9d }
      MP3    33.78%  32.46%   1.31% { 99, 66-55, J9s, T9s, 92s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, KhTh, Ah9h, Kh9h, Ah8h, J9o, T9o, 92o+, 86o+, 76o, 65o }



      I see my holding as being quite strong in this spot. Any wrong assumption above?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      The range most likely which you gave him isn't perfect, you rarely have so much equity there. But overall vs the equity which we can assume to get should be find to ship it:

      Board: 5:spade: 9:heart: 6:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    55.71%  52.69%   3.02% { QQ-99, 66-55, A9s, K9s, Q9s, J9s, T9s, 93s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, Ah8h, Ah5h, Kh5h, A9o, K9o, Q9o, J9o, T9o, 95o+, 86o+, 76o, 65o }
      UTG+1  44.29%  41.27%   3.02% { Kd9d }

      this is a bit more realistic.

      Best Regards.