[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 river pot size donk on double paired board

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Party Poker $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1838176
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $54.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 7, AF: 2.2, Hands: 326
      UTG: $20.85 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 8, AF: 9.0, Hands: 105
      CO: $71.46 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 20, 3B: 10, AF: 0.7, Hands: 30
      Hero (BTN): $50.00 -
      SB: $50.25 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 21, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 19

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with Q :spade: 6 :spade:
      1 fold, CO raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4, 2 folds, CO calls $2.50

      Flop: ($8.75) K :spade: 7 :diamond: 8 :club: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $4.50, CO calls $4.50

      Turn: ($17.75) 8 :heart: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      River: ($17.75) K :diamond: (2 players)
      CO bets $16.87, Hero raises to $41.50, CO calls $24.63

      Villain was playing 2 tables and was looking to be a pretty bad aggressive player.

      Him potsizing river was just saying to me that he is bluffing. I got burnt this time but I don't think my reasoning was wrong, why would he potsize the nuts on the river when I look very weak?
  • 2 replies
    • BruceLee89
      BruceLee89
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.09.2009 Posts: 241
      I don't like your line. First why do you 3bet that kind of hande against a 33/20 that the majority of the time is gonna call or 4bet you? Second I don't like your 3bet size, I prefer something like 5.5. Last but not least flop and turn are ok but the river has no sense, why should villain bluff you? The only few time when he could bluff you is when he had a 7x or an underpair but also over there I'm not so sure about his bluff because if you look on his general aggression it is just 0.7 (even with few hands it can guide you)
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Preflop: Don't like your 3bet at all. What's the purpose of such a small 3bet? You rarely representing a strong hand.

      As played
      Postflop: Don't get it either, why would you shove the river? Quite obvious that you ain't doing very good vs his pot size Bet. Just cause he makes pot size doesn't mean it's polarized range, it's super-easy value-bet for him. If you Call him then you call also bigger Bet.

      Best Regards.