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[NL2-NL10] NL10 AKs semibluff with nut fd

    • MiRgele
      MiRgele
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.07.2012 Posts: 10
      Hello,
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $12.68
      MP2:
      $10.00
      MP3:
      $13.30
      CO (Hero):
      $12.73
      BU:
      $13.76
      SB:
      $11.34


      Preflop: Hero is CO with A, K.
      MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, BU calls $0.40, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.35) 5, 7, 9 (3 players)
      MP3 bets $0.86, Hero raises to $2.50, BU calls $2.50, MP3 folds.

      Turn: ($7.21) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $4.40, Hero folds, BU gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $7.21.
      Original raiser 24/22 open from utg 19, cbet 75, fold to cb raise 75 (400 hands);
      Caller 17/4 agg flop 42 turn 33 (74 hands)
      that raise call looks strong for me ( overpairs, ? sets?, pairs, draw with many outs). On turn I don't know if I have fold equity, I'm either coinfliping or behind? push myself turn or c/f as I did. If think about him as fish (17/4), then they most of the time are passive, so should be strong hand and and I have only ~ 25%, anyway push turn vs strong range with fd should be EV- a bit or best breakeven .My line looks horrible?
      Thanks
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello MiRgele,

      We could consider Betting the turn but I would assume that this guy could easily have a lot of sets in his range which flat like that. Draws most likely would have Checked behind and maybe even some pair type of hands.

      Best Regards.