[NL2-NL10] AK - to Cbet or not to Cbet:)

    • AYuraoA
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317
      Hi there again:) (I´m running out of greetings:// )

      I´m standing against 29/0 after 34 hands in this spot. He´s got aggresion factor of 7.0, but there is not enough hands for that I guess.

      My question is - Should I cbet here? When I´m looking at it slowly now, I think I should, cause the boards is a bit dry. However there is also nothing that would actually scares him. I´m not sure with what he coud call here and I don´t want him to too much.

      Now - as played what about the turn? He bets very low which I interpret (according to his stats) as "will you fold?" bet. There are no completed draws yet so any real hand he may have here would be bigger pair (maybe even something like A9 or K9) and of course all sets.

      I´m very confused with profitability of this spot... Gerv - please help me!:D I know it will be trivial for you;)

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

      MP3: $2 (40 bb)
      CO: $2.17 (43.4 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $2.28 (45.6 bb)
      SB: $5 (100 bb)
      BB: $6.43 (128.6 bb)
      UTG+1: $7.53 (150.6 bb)
      UTG+2: $2 (40 bb)
      MP1: $5.12 (102.4 bb)
      MP2: $1.63 (32.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A K
      UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.05, 4 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.57) 7 3 2 (2 players)
      UTG+2 checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($0.57) 9 (2 players)
      UTG+2 bets $0.15, Hero folds

      $0.57 pot ($0.02 rake)
      Final Board: 7 3 2 9
      Hero mucked A K and lost (-$0.25 net)
      UTG+2 mucked and won $0.55 ($0.30 net)
  • 2 replies
    • AYuraoA
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317
      Aaaaaaw I´m sorry veriz:) i accidentally posted here, but it actually belongs to Gerv´s MSS section...please move this post.

      And sorry for this additional work:(
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I still cBet the Flop because AF is not even a statistic you an use when he checks because the formula that creates AF is not taking checks into consideration

      As played I would either minraise for thin value & free showdown or just call it, I think we still have the best hand given the odds we get

      Best regards,