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[NL2-NL10] AKs - Monster draw on the flop

    • AYuraoA
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317
      Hi there!

      Should I call on the flop? Vs. the range TT+,22,ATs,ATo I´m only 4:6 winner. I guess from this and pot odds point of view, I´m losing money. But then again - what do YOU think about my estimated range? With what he will raise AI here?

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

      UTG+1: $5.52 (110.4 bb)
      UTG+2: $5.38 (107.6 bb)
      MP1: $3.93 (78.6 bb)
      MP2: $2.94 (58.8 bb)
      Hero (MP3): $2.22 (44.4 bb)
      CO: $8.27 (165.4 bb) 19/13 after 69 hands
      BTN: $3.85 (77 bb)
      SB: $4.32 (86.4 bb)
      BB: $5 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K A
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, CO calls $0.20, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.47) 2 2 T (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.29, CO raises to $8.07 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.73

      Turn: ($4.51) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($4.51) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $4.51 pot ($0.19 rake)
      Final Board: 2 2 T K 9
      Hero showed K A and won $4.32 ($2.10 net)
      CO mucked J J and lost (-$2.22 net)
  • 3 replies
    • AYuraoA
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317
      Aaaaaaw I´m sorry veriz:) i accidentally posted here, but it actually belongs to Gerv´s MSS section...please move this post.

      And sorry for this additional work:(
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      I do not think he has 22/TT, what makes you think he shoves instantly with those hands? I also think he can have monsterflushdraws and/or JT/QT/KT as well so I just bet/call here and make a note of it when I see something unusual

      - Gerv
    • AYuraoA
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317

      I think he may shove 22 or TT because of preflop play + sometimes BSS players play like this agains us shorter stacks... but....truth is that with such nuts, he wouldn´t be sure about my call at all. I really think that he will do that because of my stack. He is even deeper than 100bbs.