[NL2-NL10] NL10 FR AKs coldcall

    • JohnDoe1313
      JohnDoe1313
      Platinum
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,077
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP3: $10.63 (106.3 bb)
      MP1: $21.66 (216.6 bb)
      BTN: $10.51 (105.1 bb)
      Hero (MP2): $4 (40 bb)
      BB: $10 (100 bb)
      UTG+1: $13.21 (132.1 bb)
      CO: $4.10 (41 bb)
      UTG+2: $9.87 (98.7 bb)
      SB: $12.76 (127.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A K
      2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, 5 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) A J 8 (2 players)
      MP1 bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60

      Turn: ($2.15) 9 (2 players)
      MP1 bets $1.36, Hero folds

      Results:
      $2.15 pot ($0.10 rake)
      Final Board: A J 8 9
      MP1 mucked and won $2.05 ($1.05 net)
      Hero mucked A K and lost (-$1 net)


      MP1's stats


      Hello. So here my opponent is pretty tight. I decided to coldcall and plan fit/fold on flop.

      Since I hit, I'm calling. On turn it gets a little ugly. I think I'm behind, since I don't expect him to bet KK, QQ, TT anymore.


      Board: A:heart: J:heart: 8:club:  9:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    66.19%  56.19%  10.00% { AA, JJ, 99-88, AJs+, AJo+ }
      MP3    33.81%  23.82%  10.00% { AdKd }


      If I call turn, I should call river and that's too marginal imo. So I'm folding. Definitely not a standart play, but no idea if +EV. Thanks
  • 4 replies
    • reggie123
      reggie123
      Silver
      Joined: 31.03.2009 Posts: 262
      3bet pre? Its ugly line, you have no idea, where are you. 12/8 does not mean anything 22+ KQ+ He cbet's with anything and no info is hard to continue.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi,

      I still 3bet preflop since it is MP1+ . Playing fit/fold poker is not profitable since it is obvious what you have when you raise. Like he is not going to get it in with a lot worse (no JJ/QQ on Axx or Kxx boards)

      Also look at this example on your flop/turn, the other 3 cards on the Flop does not make life easier even when you hit TP

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • JohnDoe1313
      JohnDoe1313
      Platinum
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,077
      HM counts MP1 as EP. So 3bet/call and 3bet/fold are both -EV. Agreed, fit/fold strategy sucks so I guess I should have folded it preflop then.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I think I still 3bet but not like 3x but like 2.5x to allow him to call with everything he raises with

      It's kinda iffy since I do not have much experience with this so you can experiment with this or just fold preflop

      Best regards,
      Gerv