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[NL2-NL10] AK - TPTK - raised turn

    • AYuraoA
      AYuraoA
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317
      Hi Gerv,

      in this spot I decided to let it go, because the FD finishes and most of the time raising on the turn in very strong line. I think that flushes are deffinitelly possible. Therefore I decided to let it go.


      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

      SB: $3.52 (70.4 bb)
      BB: $5.42 (108.4 bb)
      UTG+2: $5.15 (103 bb)
      Hero (MP1): $2 (40 bb)
      MP2: $2.15 (43 bb)
      MP3: $5.07 (101.4 bb) 16/14/3,8 after 457 hands
      CO: $6.97 (139.4 bb)
      BTN: $12.34 (246.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K A
      UTG+2 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, MP2 folds, MP3 calls $0.20, 4 folds

      Flop: ($0.47) 4 A T (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.32, MP3 calls $0.32

      Turn: ($1.11) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.65, MP3 raises to $2.06, Hero folds

      Results:
      $2.41 pot ($0.10 rake)
      Final Board: 4 A T 5
      Hero mucked K A and lost (-$1.17 net)
      MP3 mucked and won $2.31 ($1.14 net)
  • 4 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi,

      What is the function of your Turnbet? is it for value? Do you think a 16/14 has a lot of Ax in his range that is calling frequently?

      I would fold if he raises you on the Turn but I am not confident betting the Turn is the best idea

      - Gerv
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Would you mind answering my questions so i can help you? :) Thanks!
    • AYuraoA
      AYuraoA
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317
      Hi Gerv, sorry i somehow missed your post...:(

      Well my turn bet is mainly for value but as I said the raise here seems very strong for me so I was already decided that if he raises I´m a goner.

      I think that he may be calling a few aces since he is 16/14 and maybe even JJ. However, I´m also a bit afraid of float if I just check the turn.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Well since there is still the A out there, it is more likely he is also calling with nutflushdraws that have hit.

      His Flopcall range consist of Ax (you beat that), Ax with flushdraw ( you are drawing dead ) , random flushdraws (drawing dead) & A4/AT

      Now your equity against that is:

      Board: A:spade: T:club: 4:club:  5:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    62.81%  62.81%   0.00% { AsQs, AcQc, KcQc, AsJs, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, As9s, Ac9c, 9c8c, 8c7c, AdQc, AhQc, AsQc, AcQd, AcQh, AcQs, AdJc, AhJc, AsJc, AcJd, AcJh, AcJs }
      MP3    37.19%  37.19%   0.00% { AhKh }


      So before any betting on the Turn, we are already behind. now most likely everything you beat is just going to fold

      Therefore I think check/call the Turn or even check/fold is a way better play.

      The river is a check/fold if you c/c the Turn because he mostly will give up on his bluffs/TP hands

      - Gerv