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[NL2-NL10] AK - dry flop AI?

    • AYuraoA
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317
      Hi there Gerv!!

      How should I act on the flop?
      I decided to re-raise shove here because I think that this guy will not have AA or KK or QQ too often because he just called preflop. I think that mostly he will not hit in here ... J at maximum. TTs may also be possible...

      What would you advice?

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

      MP2: $5 (100 bb) 20/12
      MP3: $10.81 (216.2 bb)
      CO: $5 (100 bb)
      BTN: $6.34 (126.8 bb)
      SB: $4.80 (96 bb)
      Hero (BB): $2 (40 bb)
      UTG+2: $9.60 (192 bb)
      MP1: $1.87 (37.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K A
      2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.15, 4 folds, Hero raises to $0.47, MP2 calls $0.32

      Flop: ($0.96) 8 5 J (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.58, MP2 raises to $1.40, Hero raises to $1.53, MP2 calls $0.13

      Turn: ($4.02) 8 (2 players)
      River: ($4.02) 7 (2 players)

      $4.02 pot ($0.17 rake)
      Final Board: 8 5 J 8 7
      MP2 showed Q Q and won $3.85 ($1.85 net)
      Hero showed K A and lost (-$2.00 net)
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      Assuming you have no fold equity, I think he is rarely bluffing here so I actually bet/fold here. People also call KJ/AJ & slowplay QQ+ preflop sometimes.

      Fact is that you just do not have any fold equity which makes your bluffshove really bad

      If you equilate your hand versus TT-QQ,AJ,KJ,QJ,88,T9s, you can see you are not doing very well
      - Gerv