[NL2-NL10] NL5 flush draw vs set

    • SecurityDrew
      Joined: 13.05.2008 Posts: 78
      I think my issue in this hand is that given villain is 12/6 VPIP/PFR small sample is i did not expect him to call with that small a PP. I put his range in the 99-QQ range and AK. I figured my equity is good vs any over pair coupled with fold equity. Is this an easy fold vs a rock?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5.78)
      BB ($8.51)
      UTG ($28.95)
      UTG+1 ($6.40)
      Hero ($5)
      MP1 ($10.46)
      MP2 ($5.43)
      CO ($6.20)
      BTN ($5)

      Dealt to Hero J:diamond: A:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.10, Hero raises to $0.30, MP1 calls $0.30, fold, CO calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($1.07) 6:heart: 3:heart: 8:heart:

      Hero bets $0.60, MP1 folds, CO raises to $1.90, Hero raises to $4.70 (AI), CO calls $2.80

      TURN ($10.47) 6:heart: 3:heart: 8:heart: A:spade:

      RIVER ($10.47) 6:heart: 3:heart: 8:heart: A:spade: T:club:

      Hero shows J:diamond: A:heart:
      (Pre 47%, Flop 27.4%, Turn 20.5%)

      CO shows 3:diamond: 3:spade:
      (Pre 53%, Flop 72.6%, Turn 79.5%)

      CO wins $10.04
  • 2 replies
    • DrDunne
      Joined: 29.12.2010 Posts: 3,337
      hey, i think just fold it on the flop. you aren't really getting the odds to call, shoving is overplaying (unless you have a history with villain) and you even have reverse implied odds if you do hit. his raise is pretty strong too
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SecurityDrew,

      Fold the flop, we are also multiway pot and we could easily be there against sets. Against those hands we wont have very good equity.

      Best Regards.