[NL2-NL10] NL5: AJ CBET and 3BET by villian - Stats interpretation

    • Kony76
      Joined: 29.10.2010 Posts: 4,337
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

      MP1: $3.67 (73.4 bb)
      MP2: $7.40 (148 bb)
      MP3: $2.28 (45.6 bb)
      CO: $5 (100 bb)
      BTN: $5.07 (101.4 bb)
      SB: $6.24 (124.8 bb)
      Hero (BB): $5.06 (101.2 bb)
      UTG+2: $5 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:heart: J:diamond:
      UTG+2 calls $0.05, 6 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, UTG+2 calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.52) 8:club: A:spade: Q:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.35, UTG+2 raises to $1.09, Hero fold

      I made the standard CBET, but the villian made an 3BET.
      The stats of the villian are strange:
      14/11/52/1.2/503 (VPIP/PFR/AF/3BET/HANDS)

      Well, he has a huge AF, however his 3BET is low. I interpreted this as a very agrresive player, but only when 1st betting. So this 3Bet, should mean a strong hand.

      If I call, I would plau OOP with TPGK, wich is not good, so the alternative to folding was 4betting and be prepared to go all in, wich is very risky with this hand. The villian is not a fish.

      With this scenario, I decided to fold.

      Was this a good interpretation?
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Kony76,

      Bet/Folding most likely is going to be safer here without even knowing much him. But the thing you have to ask is with what he is limping? :) Cause if he does limp with PPs mainly then he is representing a very narrow range as 88 only.

      Also by the way he ain't 3betting but postflop he is just raising you and if you would be re-raising him then it's a 3bet.

      Best Regards.
    • Kony76
      Joined: 29.10.2010 Posts: 4,337
      Well, I did not analyse his first limp. That was an error. I only looked at his raise on the flop
      Maybe he limps with PP or with some SC.


      Is this a possible range of him on the flop?

      In this case we have 40% of equity, and we will need a 27,4% to be an EV+ call. :O

      About the 3BET, I was calling 3BET to a re-raise, of course it has to be the 3rd bet:)

      This is why the hand analysing is a great help for our improovment. We are always learning.