[NL2-NL10] AA vs. passive player, turn raise

    • AYuraoA
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 317
      Hey there guys,

      I´m standing against very passive 32/15 player.
      He is playing very standard line for these types of players with very good hand - call/call/raise turn.
      Now.. I´m not sure why did I choose higher sizing on the turn. I think the main reason was to get it all in. On the other hand if this player raises I guess he is very strong and I don´t know if my call would be appropriate even with aces.
      I´mean...Aces are very good hand but when such player plays that way, I´m not sure if even aces shouldn´t be folded.

      Anyway, I don´ t expect A3 so often in this spot cause I hold AA. 63 would be very improbable even for this guy also. I think that he may shove AA, KK, QQ, JJ + sets. In the end it was a little bit different tho...

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      CO: $4.87 (97.4 bb)
      BTN: $12.12 (242.4 bb)
      SB: $5.63 (112.6 bb)
      BB: $12.35 (247 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $2.23 (44.6 bb)
      MP: $5.32 (106.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
      Hero raises to $0.20, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.20, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.47) 5 2 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.30, BTN calls $0.30

      Turn: ($1.07) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.85, BTN raises to $3.15, Hero calls $0.88 and is all-in

      River: ($4.53) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $4.53 pot ($0.19 rake)
      Final Board: 5 2 8 4 7
      BTN showed 5 4 and won $4.34 ($2.11 net)
      Hero showed A A and lost (-$2.23 net)
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      I think it is kinda obvious he has 2pair+ but OK lets see our equities.

      We need roughly 4.2:1 = 19-20%ish equity

      Board: 8:heart: 2:club: 5:spade:  4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    12.03%  11.86%   0.17% { AdAc }
      MP3    87.97%  87.80%   0.17% { 88, 55-44, 22, A3s, 76s, 54s, 6h5h, 5h2h, 76o, 54o }

      I think I bet smaller not because we can bet/fold but more that we want to keep as many hands in there for as long as we can

      Best regards,