[NL2-NL10] Nl50,SSS,AQo

    • JonatanW
      JonatanW
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.03.2008 Posts: 71
      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

      UTG+1 ($20)
      Hero ($9.75)
      MP2 ($12.05)
      CO ($16.25)
      Button ($35.70)
      SB ($81.15)
      BB ($37.05)
      UTG ($50.75)

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q, A.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $2, 2 folds, Button calls $2, 1 fold, BB raises to $8.75, Hero folds, Button folds.

      Final Pot: $6.25

      Button: VP:24 PFR:14 WTSD:15 AF:15
      BB: VP:36 PFR:9.3 WTSD:26 AF:1.9

      My Remaining stack : original raise in this case is 3.9:1 which is close to the push state, even within I guess but not with a lot. There is also a limper on my call. To be fair it feels like he would only re-raise here with JJ+ or AK and to all which i'm an under dog. Maybe push if I had AQs?
  • 3 replies
    • alexkz
      alexkz
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.11.2007 Posts: 804
      I would give him 5-6% of reraise range. Our equity must more than:
      9.75/((9.75*2+2+0.25)*0.95)=47%

      Lets see how good is AQ against 5-6% reraise range:

      Operation canceled... 5,492,768 games processed in 16 seconds.
      Equity Win Tie Loss hand
      Player 1: 39.997 % 37.514 % 4.965 % 57.520 % AcQs
      Player 2: 60.003 % 57.520 % 4.965 % 37.514 % 88+, ATs+, KQs, AKo

      We can see that fold on reraise with AQo is a right decision here.
      Same thing with AQs: 43% of equity is not enough to make our push profitable.
    • 098799
      098799
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.07.2007 Posts: 1,245
      Greetings JonatanW,

      I think you made a right decision. Such a squeeze play can sometimes mean some weaker hand, but I don't think a 10%pfr would raise you with something that you still can beat (you're raising from mp3, so he won't apply a steal range to you). Deadmoney is always tempting, but it cannot force you into such a miserable call.

      Nice exaple though. Maybe find xarry2's article about squeeze play? I think it might help you a bit on higher limits.
    • xylere
      xylere
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2007 Posts: 2,939
      well, BB doesn't look like a solid FR player to be honest)
      so I would fold it