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[NL2-NL10] NL10: TT set <> river raise

    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1850491
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP: $5.39 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 4.0, Hands: 18
      CO: $12.34 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 31, 3B: 0, AF: 1.4, Hands: 48
      BTN: $19.28 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 33
      SB: $11.75 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 1, 3B: 0, AF: 1.7, Hands: 93
      Hero (BB): $11.47 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 20, 3B: 5, AF: 3.8, Hands: 105891
      UTG: $10.15 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0.2, Hands: 75

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with T :spade: T :heart:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $0.30, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65) J :diamond: 5 :club: 4 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30

      Turn: ($1.25) K :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($1.25) T :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.90, BTN raises to $2.70, Hero calls $1.80

      So I strongly suspect my opponent of having me beat here on the river. Not only the fact that villain is loose passive, but also the fact that it is a raise on the river makes me worried.

      He could still maybe have some sort of overplayed 2pair or slowplayed worse set, maybe, and I am beat only by better sets and two possible straights. Either way looks close but I went for the call.

      Let me know what you think and thanks in advance! :)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Doubt that you are going to see many 2pair combos there if at all. Rather you are if at all then vs sets. But wouldn't they Bet the turn whilst is super-drawy? So instead I assume him Checking behind there very often draws which might have improved with the T which would even make me fold whilst I haven't invested that much into the pot.
      Best Regards.