[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH A5s two pair deep

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 4,955
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($55.71)
      BB ($20.89)
      UTG ($20)
      UTG+1 ($10.64)
      CO ($26.22)
      Hero ($41.11)

      Dealt to Hero 5:heart: A:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.20, fold, Hero raises to $0.80, SB calls $0.70, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.60

      FLOP ($2.60) A:diamond: 8:club: 5:club:

      SB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $3.70, SB calls $3.70, UTG+1 folds

      TURN ($10) A:diamond: 8:club: 5:club: J:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $11.80, SB calls $11.80

      RIVER ($33.60) A:diamond: 8:club: 5:club: J:diamond: K:spade:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      37/19/1.5, fold to cbet 29, 118 hands

      On the river I think I don't want to bet fold but if I bet small and he raises I practically have to fold because there are lot of better two pairs and sets in his range. And missed draws will not call anyway.

      One pair aces can me pay off, and sometimes he might have weaker two pairs 85, 8J for example, but its risky. Especially if he sees weakness in my bet size, he might think about shipping river with busted draw. If I bet I am commited actually so I have to push river if I want but maybe its enought for weak two pair.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      You picked up already decent amount of money with your overbets there so therefore I'd also most likely Check behind the river instead of shoving whilst not even knowing how often the guy is capable of paying off. With just VPIP/PFR/AF I can't really base how loose he is capable calling down but assuming that we are 200bb deep then most likely not that loose.

      Best Regards.