[NL2-NL10] KQs flop shove

    • AxsisHalon
      Joined: 20.12.2011 Posts: 112
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Prima
      SB ($7.70)
      Hero ($7.49)
      UTG ($2.68)
      UTG+1 ($4)
      CO ($4.06)
      BTN ($3.12)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: K:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.12, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.08

      FLOP ($0.26) 5:diamond: 6:heart: T:heart:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $0.12, Hero raises to $0.52, UTG+1 raises to $1.16, Hero raises to $7.37 (AI), UTG+1 calls $2.72 (AI)

      TURN ($8.02) 5:diamond: 6:heart: T:heart: Q:spade:

      RIVER ($8.02) 5:diamond: 6:heart: T:heart: Q:spade: A:spade:

      MP 23/17/2.7/605

      is this correctly played?
  • 2 replies
    • Ickki
      Joined: 08.11.2010 Posts: 962
      Originally posted by AxsisHalon
      is this correctly played?
      This is a fold pre-flop to a raise from UTG+1 with those sorts of stats.

      As played you can c/c a small bet on the flop and pray. Certainly after you get 3bet in the flop you should snap fold as you're getting a coin flip at best here. I think villain has AT, TT, 66, 55 here a lot.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello AxsisHalon,

      Unfortunately the equity isn't going to be very good on the flop here. We need something like 45% equity to make it even break-even, vs a stronger range as:

      Board: 5:diamond: 6:heart: T:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    61.86%  61.86%   0.00% { TT+, 66-55 }
      UTG+1  38.14%  38.14%   0.00% { KhQh }

      we don't really get it, even if we add AT into his range. Therefore should be Check/Raise & even fold the hand instead of going broke.

      Best Regards.