[NL2-NL10] NL10 zoom 77 turned set facing river shove

    • member001
      Joined: 18.03.2010 Posts: 288
      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      BTN: $17.64 (176.4 bb)
      SB: $4.45 (44.5 bb)
      BB: $4.08 (40.8 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $10 (100 bb)
      MP: $8.50 (85 bb) unknown
      CO: $22.83 (228.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with 7 7
      Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, 4 folds

      Flop: ($0.75) K 3 A (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.40, MP calls $0.40

      Turn: ($1.55) 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.10, MP calls $1.10

      River: ($3.75) Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.40, MP raises to $6.10, Hero ????
      Hero calls $3.70

      Results: $15.95 pot ($0.72 rake)
      Final Board: K 3 A 7 Q
      Hero mucked 7 7 and lost (-$7.90 net)
      MP showed J T and won $15.23 ($7.33 net) :facepalm:

      My flop cbet is questionable.

      WTF does he have on the river? I beat 33, AK, maybe AQ from his value hands, and any bluffs (missed hearts). I don't think he has a bigger set (AA,KK would have raised earlier, and QQ would have folded before the river). Only JT got there, but does he call flop & turn with just a gutshot? For the given odds, I didn't think I could fold.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I think flop c-bet is fine- he sometimes have there Ax, Kx hands, but easily he may have some suited connectors or low/medium pp-s that he would fold and consider you raised UTG you´re definitely representing tighter and stronger range that you can profitable c-bet that board and expect to get folds quite often.

      I like your turn bet and I would bet river 3.2$- if he has there Ax, he would not really going to fold that often. I would also call his shove- higher sets are not so likely, he may have smt like JhTh, but he may also shove there AQ, 33, KQ

      best regards,