[NL2-NL10] NL10: 98s bad cBet on flop?

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1855878
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP: $10.15 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 22, 3B: 14, AF: 2,7, Hands: 50
      CO: $9.80 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 0,2, Hands: 48
      BTN: $12.31 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 2,3, Hands: 44
      SB: $8.39 - VPIP: 59, PFR: 6, 3B: 20, AF: 4,0, Hands: 34
      Hero (BB): $10.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,4, Hands: 47140
      UTG: $7.69 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 28

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with 7 :spade: 8 :spade:
      4 folds, SB calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.30

      Flop: ($0.80) 9 :heart: 4 :spade: 5 :heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB raises to $1.50, Hero folds

      I convinced myself that I can cBet this board because I have a GS and a backdoor FD, I am also ready to 2nd barrel any turn that is not a heart.
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      there can be a lot good cards on the turn/river that would improve your hand or are scare cards to him. I would also prefer c-bet that board (although I would not really barrel at any turn card)

      best regards,
    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Do we have much fold equity against a 59 VPIP guy?
      Indeed there are quite a few cards that improve our hand on the turn but can we really barrel on scare cards (the ones that might scare villain are likely only overcards) against this particular villain?
      Betting with little fold-equity unless we have a good draw does not sound very +EV. Or am I making too many assumptions about the opponent by just looking at his VPIP value here?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by Avatars91
      Do we have much fold equity against a 59 VPIP guy?
      Indeed there are quite a few cards that improve our hand on the turn but can we really barrel on scare cards (the ones that might scare villain are likely only overcards) against this particular villain?
      Betting with little fold-equity unless we have a good draw does not sound very +EV. Or am I making too many assumptions about the opponent by just looking at his VPIP value here?
      59% of hands is very-very big amount of random cards- so even if he c/c once with his Ax hands or random overcards, he would very likely c/f turn if he does not improve- so even if we don´t always make him c/f, I think c-bet with your equity is profitable.

      best regards,