[NL2-NL10] KQs top 2pair

    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $25 (50 bb)
      SB: $45.60 (91.2 bb)
      BB: $55.38 (110.8 bb)
      UTG+1: $73.59 (147.2 bb)
      UTG+2: $87.53 (175.1 bb)
      MP1: $50 (100 bb)
      MP2: $12.37 (24.7 bb)
      MP3: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $97.38 (194.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K Q
      4 folds, MP3 raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero calls $1.50, 2 folds

      Flop: ($3.75) Q J K (2 players)
      MP3 bets $3, Hero raises to $8, MP3 raises to $48.50 and is all-in, Hero calls $15.50 and is all-in

      Turn: ($50.75) 2 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($50.75) T (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      Results:
      $50.75 pot ($2.28 rake)
      Final Board: Q J K 2 T
      Hero showed K Q and lost (-$25 net)
      MP3 showed T 9 and won $48.47 ($23.47 net)


      19/10/121 and ATS CO 67.
      Preflop suitedness made me call


      ボード: J:diamond: K:spade: Q:spade:
              エクイティ      勝ち      引分
      MP2    49.40%  45.54%   3.85% { JJ+, AQs+, ATs, KJs+, QJs, AsJs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, AQo+, ATo, KQo, QJo }
      MP3    50.60%  46.75%   3.85% { KhQh }


      against this range, I could shove. Is this range correct?
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      I do not think he is going to bet/shove AQ,AK,AA,QJo,A3-A8s so your equity is actually worse:
      ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation
      35,640 trials (Exhaustive)
      board: k:spade: q:spade: j:diamond:
      khqh 39.19% (11,699 wins, 4,538 ties)
      kk-jj,AT,KJ,KQ,QJs,AsJs,As9s,As8s 60.81% (19,403 wins, 4,538 ties)

      So raising the Flop is more or less as a bluff so I am more happy to call. Mind you that preflop is very close because you have to play perfect postflop in order to grind profit, not because you just have KQs

      Best regards,
      Gerv