Hey guys!
Here is a hand where I got myself in a lot of trouble
Lets get 1 thing straight!!! My raise otf is VERY wrong! BUT it happened and I have to play from there then!
villain: 36/13/2.4 after 806 hands
I know that his pfr is very low, but that means that if I do hit it's going to be easy to get his whole stack.
I kinda miss the flop but his bet looks so weak So I thought of taking a stab

I only had the GS.
I hit my straight, but then he shoves

To call or not to call? The thing is I don't think he'll raise JT/J9 in UTG with such a low PFR, he might have JJ, but yeah I'm going to be beat some times as well...
So calculated equity with a range I put him on.
Board: J
9
J
T
Equity Win Tie
MP2 53.51% 53.51% 0.00% { 99+, AJs, KJs+, AJo, KJo+ }
MP3 46.49% 46.49% 0.00% { 8d7d }
So I have 46,5% equity vs that range and to be BE I need 37,5% equity, so apparently this is a good call?
And lets say he's not a fish

and give him this range
Board: J
9
J
T
Equity Win Tie
MP2 64.14% 64.14% 0.00% { QQ-99, AJs, KJs+, AJo, KJo+ }
MP3 35.86% 35.86% 0.00% { 8d7d }
I'm almost good.
Prima, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By
Holdem Manager - The Ultimate
Poker Software Suite.
CO: $10 (100 bb)
Hero (BTN): $11.73 (117.3 bb)
SB: $7.02 (70.2 bb)
BB: $11.49 (114.9 bb)
MP: $12.20 (122 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 8

7
MP raises to $0.20,
CO folds, Hero calls $0.20,
2 folds
Flop: ($0.55) J

9

J
(2 players)
MP bets $0.25,
Hero raises to $1, MP calls $0.75
Turn: ($2.55) T
(2 players)
MP bets $0.30,
Hero raises to $2.50,
MP raises to $11 and is all-in, Hero calls $8.03 and is all-in
River: ($23.61) 3
(2 players, 2 are all-in)
Results:
$23.61 pot ($1.18 rake)
Final Board: J

9

J

T

3
Hero showed 8

7

and lost (-$11.73 net)
MP showed J

T

and won $22.43 ($10.70 net)
Thanks!
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