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[NL2-NL10] nl10Sh 78s

    • RasTweet
      Joined: 26.12.2009 Posts: 4,553
      Hey guys!

      Here is a hand where I got myself in a lot of trouble :facepalm:

      Lets get 1 thing straight!!! My raise otf is VERY wrong! BUT it happened and I have to play from there then!

      villain: 36/13/2.4 after 806 hands

      I know that his pfr is very low, but that means that if I do hit it's going to be easy to get his whole stack.

      I kinda miss the flop but his bet looks so weak So I thought of taking a stab :facepalm: I only had the GS.

      I hit my straight, but then he shoves :( To call or not to call? The thing is I don't think he'll raise JT/J9 in UTG with such a low PFR, he might have JJ, but yeah I'm going to be beat some times as well...

      So calculated equity with a range I put him on.

      Board: J:spade: 9:heart: J:heart:  T:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    53.51%  53.51%   0.00% { 99+, AJs, KJs+, AJo, KJo+ }
      MP3    46.49%  46.49%   0.00% { 8d7d }

      So I have 46,5% equity vs that range and to be BE I need 37,5% equity, so apparently this is a good call?

      And lets say he's not a fish :facepalm: and give him this range

      Board: J:spade: 9:heart: J:heart:  T:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    64.14%  64.14%   0.00% { QQ-99, AJs, KJs+, AJo, KJo+ }
      MP3    35.86%  35.86%   0.00% { 8d7d }

      I'm almost good.

      Prima, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $10 (100 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $11.73 (117.3 bb)
      SB: $7.02 (70.2 bb)
      BB: $11.49 (114.9 bb)
      MP: $12.20 (122 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 8 7
      MP raises to $0.20, CO folds, Hero calls $0.20, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.55) J 9 J (2 players)
      MP bets $0.25, Hero raises to $1, MP calls $0.75

      Turn: ($2.55) T (2 players)
      MP bets $0.30, Hero raises to $2.50, MP raises to $11 and is all-in, Hero calls $8.03 and is all-in

      River: ($23.61) 3 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      $23.61 pot ($1.18 rake)
      Final Board: J 9 J T 3
      Hero showed 8 7 and lost (-$11.73 net)
      MP showed J T and won $22.43 ($10.70 net)

  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello RasTweet,

      Just fold the flop instead of raising whilst practically having very little equity. Nor of course we can't be sure how much fold equity we have there.

      But as played well, you just beat Jx only. :) Although could be vs JJ/99/TT/JT and maybe even KQ. So very little hands you have beat.

      Best Regards.