[NL20-NL50] NL25SH paired flop

    • martins1337
      Joined: 07.06.2009 Posts: 272
      UTG: $22.34
      Hero (MP): $26.10
      CO: $37.69
      BTN: $26.25
      SB: $18.46
      BB: $25.00 19/16/4/38/400 vp/pf/af/wtsd/hands; fold to cbet 60

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A:heart: J:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.75, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60, 2 players) 2:diamond: J:club: 2:heart:
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.01, BB calls $1.01

      Turn: ($3.62, 2 players) 4:club:
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.29, BB raises to $7.00, Hero calls $4.71

      River: ($17.62, 2 players) Q:heart:
      BB bets $9.00, Hero calls $9.00

      It's dry board, so I click 2/3 pot and bet out.
      I think he almost never has 2 there. only 2 that he has is with another 2 :D
      I thought he has on flop 22,jj, some pockets and JT+
      once he x/r turn he could have 22,jj,44 (but I thought he would fold 44 on flop), AJ, maybe kj,qj and then some bluffs
      on river he has potsize bet left, but he bets 1/2. thats why I called :(

      I think i can't fold Turn, but what about River?
      and what would you do?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello martins1337,

      Doubt that he is going to bluff much in those spots, nor I don't see him turning his Jx into bluff or Check/Raising like that for value. Such a guy could easily even have there QQ in his range and never know maybe even worse traps as KK/AA. :D Nor I am not excluding from his range 44, so I'd prefer Bet/Folding the turn without even knowing the guy or either he is capable of bluffing this way. Cause you beat just bluff there.

      At least would be good if he would have like J:cX or whatsoever FD but he can't have it cause the J is on board, so his range is very capped there, only bluff what you beat. But if we call the turn we of course should be willing to call down the river as well.

      Best Regards.