[NL2-NL10] NL4 AJ squeeze

    • Letsdothisish
      Joined: 01.02.2009 Posts: 995
      IPoker Network $4.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1865636
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $6.44
      UTG: $0.98
      MP: $2.95
      CO: $5.02 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 3.9, Hands: 2013
      BTN: $5.00 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 10, 3B: 2, AF: 1.3, Hands: 446
      Hero (SB): $6.38

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is SB with A :spade: J :heart:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.12, BTN calls $0.12, Hero raises to $0.52, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.20) 5 :club: J :diamond: 4 :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.76, BTN raises to $1.52, Hero folds


      I squeeze here but strangely enough the BU calls after also calling the CO open. He normally folds 80% to 3bets. I'm putting him on AK/AQ or some midpair. I guess he would normally 3bet his monsters.

      I got TPTK so I bet the flop. He minraises. The only thing I think he reps here is JJ, and there's only 1 combination of that. I don't think 44/55 is in his range. The only thing I beat here are FD's and KJ, but neither of these are very much represented in his range. He could be bluffing with some overcards since we have some history and I cbet the flop a lot though.

      But I decided not to overthink it and just fold since he's really tight overall even though he's not much repping on the flop. Good fold? Thank you.
  • 2 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,013
      people go call/call with pocket pairs more often than they should.

      even though he didn't get the odds to setmine he's really repping a set imo. he could also have a draw sometimes but he doesn't seem aggressive/creative enough to take that line with them
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I think you don´t mostly see there QQ-AA, so that leaves JJ (unlikely, since you hold AJ) and 55/44 (sometimes 54s) that are you beat. Although min-raise looks strong I think he would sometimes bluff, sometimes raising his draws and sometimes just Jx hands. Since pot is big and you always have some fold equity I would prefer shoving my tptk

      best regards,